|Desperate War of Japan in the Pacific|
Why did China controlled trading? Because the trading tax was income of Emperor.
comprador (baiben) and gyoushou of Canton and western merchants got profit from the trading. But farmers of China had not been able to pay tax (copper) because of flowing silver from China. While Goverment of Beijing gathered tax (silver). Ratio of copper to silver was very high. Local government of Canton also gathered extra trading tax. The wealth of Canton succeed in building government in Nanjing.
Japan in 1930s
Tbl.3 shows Japanese-US trade from 1929 to 1934. Export decreased almost half, while import increased. The balance got worse. Cotton weight exchange ratio to silk was 24.1 in 1927. The ratio was 9.1 in 1934. Tbl.4 shows Japanese-UK trade. Japan exported silk to US and imported cotton from US. Japan exported cotton textile to Asia etc. Japan depended on import of oil and cotton from US.
|Powers' investment in China at interwar period|
War lords fought civil war in China after 辛亥革命 happended in 1911. Powers and China tied about territories of China in 1922. 9 nations were Japan, China, US, UK, France, Netherlands, Italy, Belguim and Portugal. Russia and Germany dropped the powers in China. France, Germany and Russia intervened Japanese-Sino War in Meiji era. France was great power in Yokohama. Although Portugal had 澳門, IJN had sea power to overwhelm naval forces of China, France, Italy, Belguim and Portugal in China Sea. So US, UK and Japan commited the right in China. IJN increased her power more and more. UK could not have sea power in Hongkong to compete Japan at last. Okada Cabinet declared denunciation of Wasington Treaty on 29 December 1934. IJN wanted much budget for bureaucracy to maintain their occupation. Almost of them understood that IJN was not competitive against USN. The bureaucrats were the same of the latest Qing in China. Any bureaucracy always begins to work for themselves only in East Asia.
Republic of China unified China again in December 1928, when 張学良 hoisted flag of republic of China. IJA bureaucrats thought of crisis of Japanese right in Manchuria. Russia wanted to give up such right in Manchuria after Russian Revolution. US advocated open door policy in China. Five IJA section chiefs ( Nagata, Okamura, Watari, Yamawaki ), bureaucrats thought invasion plan of Manchuria at a room of 国本社 on 19 June 1931.
Road to the Pacific War in 1940
US Congress approved production of 10,000 USN aircraft on 14 May. Japan and the US resumed diplomatic negotiation in April. France surrendered on 22 Jun. US informed Japan of abolishment of Japanese-US Treaty of Commerce and Navigation on 26 July. US imposed embargo of oil products on Japan in August. Japan occupied the north of Fench Indochina to shut a Shiang aid route on 23 September. US imposed embargo of low quality aviation gasoline on 1 August. US recommended that American women and children would left the Far East on 8 October 1940. US imposed embargo of scrap steel on Japan on 16 October in order to make a lot of steel. FDR was to be elected Presiden in November. US decided to build 51 airfields in December.
Suzuki Syoten grew big in WWI, which was independent from Japanese major Zaibatu. The main profit of the business were from sugar industry in Taiwan and freighters. Once Mitsui tried to buy the sugar industry division of Suzuki, but Suzuki refused. Mitsui triggered that Suzuki was bankrupt, because Taiwan Bank invested Suzuki and Mitsui recovered 30 million yen in yen call market on March in 1927.
Taiwan Bank bankrupt
Yen for Depression term
Economy of Japan depended US dollars before the Pacific War. Japan had to buy various production equipment and materials on US dollars for innovations. The table shows how Japanese yen hurt under Depression.
German currency stayed stable constant. It shows German economical policy was correct, though Germany occurred the War. Japan was worst to handle depression among powers. UK and US also failed to work economical policy. US boosted her power at war time economy in 40s.
Yen lost compitiion with other powers in Depression. So some bureaucrats and military groups thought Japan grew like Soviet Union under controlled economy, if Japan dominated resources of China and market. Soviet Union had natural resources to develop her own economy. Though Japan occupied Shanghai, Yen could not win Yuan. Chinese people selected Yuan. And worse, oil wells were not found in China those days. Japan was fatal without import of oil.
When Yoshida Shigeru was ambassador in London in 1936-1938, prime minister Chamberlain called him. Yoshida said to him, "Interest of Japanese bond is high in London market considering confidence of Japanese government. Japan always payed interest. Japan has to pay same as small Balkan States. and I hear London market take up Chinese bond in spite of no pay of interest. I will tell Government to spread payment." Prime minister replied, "I take your note." The next day, the price of Japanese bond rised 6 points upto 95 pound.|
Hori, a staff of IJA General Staff found a relation that stock prices of can companies and pharmacy companies got high before US operations in the Pacific Ocean. Hata wrote it on a comment of Hori's book.
When sucide attacks against warships of Okinawa ended in June 1945 and Japan lost the Okinawa Battle, strangely price of stock market of Japan began rising up, though IJA and IJN had prepared for the final battle of Japan. Nakajima, a staff of GF thought secret operation to stop the Pacific War was going.
While a few IJN leaders actioned to stop the Pacific War. IJN Minister Yonai ordered deputy minister Inoue to stop the war in August 1944. Inoue also ordered rear admiral Takaki. Conflict of seeking political power to take Mikado's favor continued almost a year. Mikado always plays remarkable role in the conflict of Japanese history and stands in balance of conflicting groups. In the conflict of political poweres, cease fire information stimulated stock market of Japan, I think.
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